brian dean

Home Blog Newsletter
← Back to all posts

When to Buy into the 2025 Dip

Apr 06, 2025
connect with me!

Hello investors!

Unless you live under a rock, you've probably seen the news around Donald Trump's global tariff announcement, leading to a ~10% drop in the S&P 500.

In today's newsletter, I won't bother rehashing what you're likely already seeing across news and social media.

Instead, I want to provide you with my perspective on where I see buying opportunities in this market. 

And if you want to see a live walkthrough of these concepts in more detail, check it out here: 

RECESSION WATCH EP 4: When To Buy Into The 2025 Crash

1. My Buy the Dip Indicator

Everyone knows you can't time the market.

But nine times out of ten, the real takeaway is that you shouldn't hold cash on the sidelines waiting for a market crash.

So what if you're already invested, and you still want to capitalize on lower prices?

My answer is two fold:

  1. I use an indicator called Bollinger Bands to execute a "mean reversion" strategy
  2. I reallocate away from other assets like Gold and Bonds and into Stocks...sometimes I even dabble in leveraged products like leveraged ETFs or options.

According to this indicator, we are still 8%-10% away from a true buying opportunity.

And the reality is that even if we did hit that indicator next week, there is no guarantee prices will rebound in the near term. 

But here's what I'm doing:

Every Friday at 12:30pm PT, I will send out an email and go live on YouTube updating subscribers on where the market is at in relation to this indicator.

I explain further in the video, but when this indicator flashes green, there's about a 30 minute window at the end of the week to decide if you want to follow this strategy or not.

So if you feel that this mean reversion strategy is right for you, make sure to stay subscribed to both this newsletter and the YouTube channel wtih notifications turned on so you don't miss out. 

2. Best Assets to Invest in 2025

In case you missed it, there are four assets I have been talking up through Q1 2025. Those are:

  1. International Stocks ex-US: $ACWX
  2. Gold: $GLD
  3. Utilities: $XLU
  4. Real Estate: $VNQ or $GOOD

So far, these have performed quite well compared to the broader market (see screenshot), and I expect them to continue performing well given all the information I have available to me today. 

Of course, I may update these depending on any changes to our economic outlook as the year goes on, so make sure to stay up to date with my content to get my real-time views.

3. The Warren Buffett Approach

As I mentioned in my video about Building a Successful Investment Strategy for 2025, I continue to believe this year will be a huge opportunity for individual stock picking.

But astute subscribers will point out that I've never shared an individual stock picking strategy.

Which is absolutely correct, because since I've been writing this newsletter, it has generally been better to invest in ETFs than individual stocks.

The market was just too overvalued and too saturated with easy money. 

So now is the time to share what approach I will be using in 2025, and that's to put on my Warren Buffett thinking cap.

I go into much more detail on this in the third chapter of this week's YouTube video, but here's the spark notes:

I'm looking for stocks with low P/E ratio (below 10) and strong dividend yields (above 5%).

As of today, there are 8 stocks from the S&P 500 that meet this criteria:

And just like any other style of investing, this is just one approach.

As prices continue to fall, I will be looking into high growth tech stocks, international markets, and even opportunities in currencies and commodities.

Each of those assets require their own strategy and set of criteria. 

Regardless, I will keep my eyes out for the best wealth building opportunities and keep you updated here and on my channel. 

Conclusion

That's all I've got for today, I would love to hear from you: Anything you have questions on? Any investments you're looking into? Have you already bought into this crash or are you still waiting for the perfect opportunity?

See you in the next one.

-Brian

Responses

Join the conversation
t("newsletters.loading")
Loading...
🀝🏻 The "Art" of the "Deal"
Good morning investors! This week we saw our first glimpse of what future trade deals could look like, starting with an agreement reached between the US and the UK. Despite the hype leading up to the announcement from our very own President, my read on the "deal" is that it's mostly fluff, with more cons than pros. Here is a summary the White House put out: Taking this at face value, we are lo...
πŸ“ˆ Stocks ALWAYS Go Up...Right?
Good morning investors! Despite the US economy shrinking in the first quarter, the S&P 500 closed up 2.92% for the week ending May 2, 2025. For investors with a nuanced strategy of "buy-everything-all-the-time," life is feeling pretty good. After all, "stocks always go up," right? Here are a few reasons why I wouldn't get too comfortable: The economy is shrinking Unemployment is increasing Inf...
πŸ‘ΆπŸΌ The U.S. is Getting "Soft" ?
Good morning investors! Last week, the stock market rose 4.6% on the news that President Trump is softening his stance on tariffs to China and said he has no plans to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. However, there is a mismatch between the narrative that immediately built among investors and news outlets. Let's look at what was reported vs. what was said. Reported:Β  The day before Guo...

Master the Market

A newsletter designed to help you master the market so you can invest with confidence and grow your net worth.
© 2025 brian dean. all rights reserved.

Join The FREE Challenge

Enter your details below to join the challenge.